Bowl prejections (all of them!) again

NC- Alabama vs. Texas
Orange- Georgia Tech vs. TCU
Fiesta- Iowa vs. Boise State
Sugar- Florida vs. Cincinnati
Rose- Oregon vs. Ohio State
GMAC- Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Ohio
Alamo- Michigan State vs. Oklahoma
Liberty- East Carolina vs. South Carolina
Cotton- Oklahoma State vs. Mississippi
Papajohns.com- Connecticut vs. Arkansas
International- Rutgers vs. Temple
Gator- Miami (FL) vs. West Virginia
Capital One- Penn State vs. LSU
Outback- Wisconsin vs. Tennessee
Chick-fill-A Virginia Tech vs. Georgia
Insight- Minnesota vs. Texas A&M
Texas- Northern Illinois vs. Navy
Sun- Oregon St. vs. Missouri
Armed Forces- Air Force vs. Houston
Holiday- Arizona vs. Nebraska
Humanitarian- Louisiana-Monroe vs. Nevada
Champs Sports- Clemson vs. Northwestern
EagleBank- Bowling Green vs. Marshall
Independence- Middle Tennessee State vs. Kentucky
Music City- Boston College vs. Auburn
Emerald- Florida State vs. USC
Meineke Car Care- North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh
Pizza- UCLA vs. Central Michigan
Hawaii- SMU vs. Idaho
Poinsettia- Utah vs. California
Maaco- Stanford vs. BYU
New Orleans- Troy vs. Southern Miss
St. Petersburg- UCF vs. South Florida
New Mexico- Wyoming vs. Fresno State

Bowl projections (all of them!)

After a lot of analysing, here is my bowl projections for November 25th.
NC game: Florida vs. Texas
Orange bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Texas
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Iowa
Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs. Oregon State
Fiesta Bowl: Cincinnati vs. Boise State

GMAC: Temple vs. Middle Tennessee State*
Alamo: Michigan State vs. Oklahoma
Liberty: Arkansas vs. Houston
Cotton: Oklahoma State vs. Ole Miss
Papajohns.com: South Carolina vs. Rutgers
International: South Florida vs. Ohio
Gator: Clemson vs. Pittsburgh
Capital One: Penn State vs. LSU
Outback: Wisconsin vs. Georgia
Chick-Fill-A: Virginia Tech vs. Kentucky
Insight: Minnesota vs. Missouri
Texas: Iowa State vs. Navy
Sun: Texas Tech vs. USC
Armed Forces: Air Force vs. Southern Miss
Holiday: Nebraska vs. Oregon
Humanitarian: Nevada vs. Bowling Green*
Champs Sports: Northwestern vs. Miami (FL)
EagleBank: Northern Illinois vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
Independence: Texas A&M vs. Auburn
Music City: North Carolina vs. Tennessee
Emerald: Florida State vs. Stanford
Meineke Car Care: Boston College vs. West Virginia
Pizza: UCLA vs. Central Michigan
Hawaii: East Carolina vs. Idaho
Poinsettia: Arizona vs. Utah
Maaco: Cal vs. BYU
New Orleans: UCF vs. Troy
St. Petersburg: Connecticut vs. Marshall
New Mexico: Wyoming vs. Fresno State
Bowl eligible but missed the cut: Kent State, Louisiana-Monroe
*Replacement team

College football picks week 13

Another week, another set of picks.
This is beyond humiliating.
3-10
Pittsburgh -0
West Virginia +0
PICK: PITT

Rutgers -3
Louisville +3
PICK: RUTG

Wyoming +3
Colorado State -3
PICK: WYO

Temple -3
Ohio +3
PICK: TEMP

Alabama -10
Auburn +10
PICK: ALA

Nevada +13.5
Boise State -13.5
PICK: NEV

Wake Forest -5
Duke +5
PICK: DUKE

Clemson -3
South Carolina +3
PICK: CLEM

Southern Mississippi +6
East Carolina -6
PICK: ECU

Oklahoma State +9.5
Oklahoma -9.5
PICK: OKST

Utah State +2.5
Idaho -2.5
PICK: IDA

Boston College -6
Maryland +6
PICK: BCOLL

Troy -9.5
Louisiana-Laffayette +9.5
PICK: TROY

NFL picks week 12

I have the rest of the week off from school, so expect lots of updates. BCS standings overview+ ALL bowl projections hopefully tonight/tommorrow. Also this week, I have my friend Rusty_Shackleford from Erepublik (it's a site where there's basically an alternative universe, join at http://www.erepublik.com/en/referrer/Ivar+Gizteb) picking as well. And now for NFL picks.
ME: 1-2
RUSTY: 1-2

GB -11
DET +11
MY PICK: GB
RUSTY'S PICK: GB

OAK +13.5
DAL -13.5
MY PICK: OAK
RUSTY'S PICK: OAK

NYG -7
DEN +7
MY PICK: NYG
RUSTY'S PICK: NYG

IND -3
HOU +3
MY PICK: IND
RUSTY'S PICK: IND

CLE +14
CIN -14
MY PICK: CIN
RUSTY'S PICK: CLE

CHI +10.5
MIN -10.5
MY PICK: MIN
RUSTY'S PICK: MIN

WAS +9.5
PHI -9.5
MY PICK: WAS
RUSTY'S PICK: PHI

MIA -3
BUF +3
MY PICK: MIA
RUSTY'S PICK: MIA

SEA -3
STL +3
MY PICK: SEA
RUSTY'S PICK: SEA

TB +12.5
ATL -12.5
MY PICK: TB
RUSTY'S PICK: ATL

CAR +3
NYJ -3
MY PICK: CAR
RUSTY'S PICK: NYJ

JAC +3
SF -3
MY PICK: JAC
RUSTY'S PICK: N/A

KC +13.5
SD -13.5
MY PICK: SD
RUSTY'S PICK: KC

NE +3
NO -3
MY PICK: NO
RUSTY'S PICK: NE

ARI -0
TEN +0
MY PICK: TEN
RUSTY'S PICK: TEN

PIT -0
BAL +0
MY PICK: PIT
RUSTY'S PICK: PIT
BCS overview soon, I didn't get around to it yesterday, maybe I can do it while avoiding a screaming match between my mom, sister and aunt.

Week 11 NFL picks

THIS WEEK: 7-5
How do I not have 16 picks? Huh.
Picks for week 11 of the NFL:
Cleveland +3
Detroit -3
PICK: DET
Buffalo +8.5
Jacksonville -8.5
PICK: JAC
Pittsburgh -10
Kansas City +10
PICK: PIT
Indianapolis -1.5
Baltimore +1.5
PICK: IND
Atlanta +7
New York Giants -7
PICK: ATL
San Fransisco +6
Green Bay -6
PICK: GB
PUSH
Seattle +10.5
Minnesota -10.5
PICK: MIN
Washington +11
Dallas -11
PICK: WAS
New Orleans -10.5
Tampa Bay +10.5
PICK: NO
Arizona -9
St. Louis +9
PICK: ARI
New York Jets +10.5
New England -10.5
PICK: NYJ
Cincinnati -9
Oakland +9
PICK: CIN
Philadelphia -3
Chicago +3
PICK: PHI
Tennessee +4
Houston -4
PICK: TEN
Easy prop bet of the week:
CIN VS. OAK 1st half over/under 17.5 OVER

BCS bowl predictions

For starters, I might as well give the top 18 BCS teams.
Florida
Alabama
Texas
TCU
Cincinnati
Boise State
Georgia Tech
LSU
Pittsburgh
Ohio State
Oregon
Oklahoma State
Iowa
Penn State
Virginia Tech
Wisconsin
Stanford
USC
The top 14 teams are eligible for "at-large" berths.
Let me give you those standings again, with teams color-coded by projected losses.
no losses
1 loss
2 loss
3 loss
4 loss
Florida
Alabama loss to Florida
Texas
TCU
Cincinnati
Boise State
Georgia Tech
LSU Loss to Mississippi/Arkansas
Pittsburgh Loss to Cincinnati
Ohio State
Oregon
Oklahoma State
Iowa Loss to Minnesota
Penn State
Virginia Tech
Wisconsin Loss to Hawaii (Hawaii refs @ Hawaii are well, Hawaii refs @ Hawaii)
Stanford
USC Loss to Arizona

As you can see, there are 13 teams projected to finish with less than 3 losses. 3 of them are SEC teams, meaning that one of them (the lowest-ranked) will be ineligible. That will be LSU, unless Florida International, Chatanooga or Auburn can pull a big upset. And even then, LSU still could be left in the dust if Florida and Alabama are both 1-loss. So that leaves 12. Even if Iowa and Wisconsin win out, only 2 big ten teams could get in. No matter how you slice it, we have 12 to fill 10 spots. As a quick refresher, here is a color-coded list of teams that could get into the BCS.
BCS qualified
Not BCS qualified
Florida
Alabama
Texas
TCU
Cincinnati
Boise State
Georgia Tech
LSU
Pittsburgh
Ohio State
Oregon
Oklahoma State
Iowa
Penn State
Virginia Tech
Wisconsin
Stanford
USC

Most likely, one of my teams hilighted in red will lose somewhere unexpected. Oklahoma State could go down to Oklahoma, Penn State to Sparta, Boise State to Nevada etc. Then, Pittsburgh may drop out of the top 14 if they lose to Cincinnati. So with 1 upset, and Pittsburgh dropping out, we have 10 teams! And then for my upset, you may not believe this but Nevada will beat Boise State. No joke. So this leaves 10 BCS teams for 10 slots, those teams are:
Florida
Alabama
Texas
TCU
Cincinnati
Georgia Tech
Ohio State
Oregon
Oklahoma State
Penn State
But it's more complicated than that. Say Cincy loses to Pitt. Both would probably be in the top 14. Who gets left out? Boise State wins, who loses instead? But under the circumstances that the ten teams listed above make the BCS, the matchups I think would be:
NC game: Florida vs. Texas
Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs. Oregon
Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. TCU
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Cincinnati
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Penn State
After that long post, I'm off.

College football picks week 12

This week:
10-5 FINAL
Long break, here are picks:

CAPS IS MY PICK

OSU -12.5

mich +12.5
C'mon, run up the score Tressel. Uggh.

kent state +10.5

TEMPLE -10.5
Yup, I was the only person that realized Temple has 2 losses.

MISSISSIPPI STATE +11.5

arkansas -11.5
What happened to your almost-beating LSU self? Seriously.

PENN STATE -3

michigan state +3
Hey, at least I'm not a homer like Jim Branstetter (cough cough)

california +8

STANFORD -8
Note to self: Toby Gerhart isn't the greatest thing since sliced bread.

LSU +4

ole miss -4
I think after going so fast all of the oxygen got sucked out of Jordan Jefferson's brain.

air force +10

BYU -10
Non big-6 games are the key to getting picks right. Absolutely ridicolous line here.

uab +13

EAST CAROLINA -13
East Carolina is one to surprise.

LTECH +9

fresno state -9
2 near-losses against ranked teams in a row wins my respect.

DUKE +19

miami-19
Barely, just barely.

HAWAII -3

san jose state +3
Hawaii always gets all the calls. That's why I pick them.

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +45

florida -45
Wow, Florida is better than expected. How about I just stay away from any game with a big-6 team.

ARMY +2.5

north texas -2.5
Yup, definately stick to non big-6 games.

oregon -6
ARIZONA +6
Neither of these teams look very good.

ARKANSAS STATE +10
middle tennessee -10
I need to convince myself that the Iowa game was a long time ago.

College Football Picks Week 7

THIS WEEK: 6-7
Ohio State -14.5
Purdue +14.5
PICK: OHIO STATE
Oklahoma +3.5
Texas -3.5
PICK: TEXAS
Bowling Green -3
Ball State +3
PICK: BOWLING GREEN
Iowa +3
Wisconsin -3
PICK: IOWA
Mississippi State -5
Middle Tennessee State +5
PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE
Minnesota +17
Penn State -17
PICK: MINNESOTA
Arkansas +24
Florida -24
PICK: ARKANSAS
North Carolina State +3
Boston College -3
PICK: BOSTON COLLEGE
Cal -3.5
UCLA +3.5
PICK: UCLA
Kansas -10
Colorado +10
PICK: KANSAS
Miami (FL) -14
UCF +14
PICK: MIAMI (FL)
Navy -6.5
SMU +6.5
PICK: NAVY
Washington +6.5
Arizona State -6.5
PICK: WASHINGTON

Week 6 college football picks

Man, 21 picks is a lot. Let's hope they do well.
THIS WEEK: 10-11
Purdue +3.5
Minnesota -3.5
PICK: MINNESOTA
Auburn -3
Arkansas +3
PICK: AUBURN
Boston College +14
Virginia Tecch -14
PICK: BOSTON COLLEGE
Michigan State -4
Illinois +4
PICK: MICHIGAN STATE
Georgia +1
Tennessee -1
PICK: GEORGIA
Houston +2.5
Mississippi State -2.5
PICK: HOUSTON
Wisconsin +15
Ohio State -15
PICK: WISCONSIN
Indiana +6.5
Virginia -6.5
PICK: INDIANA
Baylor +28
Oklahoma -28
PICK: BAYLOR
Navy -11.5
Rice +11.5
PICK: NAVY
Alabama -5.5
Mississippi +5.5
PICK: ALABAMA
Oregon -3.5
UCLA +3.5
PICK: OREGON
Utah -8
Colorado State +8
PICK: UTAH
Western Michigan +9.5
Toledo -9.5
PICK: TOLEDO
Stanford -1
Oregon State +1
PICK: STANFORD
Southern Mississippi -1.5
Louisville +1.5
PICK: LOUISVILLE
Georgia Tech +3
Florida State -3
PICK: GEORGIA TECH
Florida -8
LSU +8
PICK: LSU
Michigan +8
Iowa -8
PICK: IOWA
UTEP -2
Memphis +2
PICK: UTEP
Arizona -3.5
Washington +3.5
PICK: WASHINGTON

Opinion Poll week 5

After week 5, here is my opinion poll:
1. Alabama
2. Texas
3. Florida
4. Boise State
5. Iowa
6. Cinicnnati
7. LSU
8. Miami (FL)
9. Oregon
10. USC
11. Ohio State
12. Virginia Tech
13. South Florida
14. Auburn
15. Kansas
16. Wisconsin
17. Mizzouri
18. Penn State
19. Nebraska
20. Oklahoma State
21. TCU
22. Georgia
23. Stanford
24. South Carolina
25. Mississippi

College Football Picks Week 5

THIS WEEK: 4-5
Toledo -5.5

Ball State +5.5

PICK: TOLEDO

Northwestern +8

Purdue -8

PICK: NORTHWESTERN

East Carolina -2

Marshall +2

PICK: MARSHALL

South Florida -7

Syracuse +7

PICK: SOUTH FLORIDA

Michigan +3.5

Michigan State -3.5

PICK: MICHIGAN
I have never been happier to be wrong

Central Michigan -8.5

Buffalo +8.5

PICK: CENTRAL MICHIGAN

Florida State -4

Boston College +4

PICK: BOSTON COLLEGE

LSU +3.5

Georgia -3.5

PICK: GEORGIA

Air Force +3

Navy -3

PICK: NAVY
Tie

Washington +12.5

Notre Dame -12.5

PICK: WASHINGTON

Western Michigan +7

Northern Illinois -7

PICK: NORTHERN ILLINOIS

Mississippi -10

Vanderbilt +10

PICK: VANDERBILT

Ohio State -18

Indiana +18

PICK: INDIANA

Arkansas -1.5

Texas A&M +1.5

PICK: TEXAS A&M

Oklahoma -7.5

Miami (FL) +7.5

USC -4.5

California +4.5

PICK: CALIFORNIA

Houston -14.5

UTEP +14.5

PICK: HOUSTON

Random college football thoughts

Sorry I haven't posted this week, I procrasinated on a book report due tommorrow, I just finished it. Anyways, here are some totally random thought about college football.
-A Florida team without Tim Tebow isn't going to win 9, 10 or 11 games. Try the 6-8 range. Tebow will insist on playing against LSU, but if your not 100% you don't win in Death Valley.
- Alabama is the best team in the nation. Hands down. Look at my above note about Florida, and Texas is playing well, but they aren't playing like the #1 team in the land. And we all know, defense wins championships. Alabama has the best D I've seen this year in college football (it's nowhere near the Jet's D-line, which I'll hopefully get to in an upcoming post)
- Cincinnati won't live up to the hype. Teams that have gotten hyped so much, hmmm let's think about Miami, BYU, Florida State. Cincy is an "up and coming" team, just like those teams were. They aren't going to run the table. Tony Pike isn't Peyton Manning. And ESPN people, Tony Pike isn't the best QB no one has heard of. Because I've heard of him. And I think Kirk Cousins is better (yeah, that's probably biased, but he's still a sophmore!)
- What's the deal with LSU? Yeah sure, we all know they can win in Death Valley, but what the heck happened against Mississippi State? I'm not going to rank a team in the top 5 that was 6 inches away from losing against the annual cellar-dwellers of the SEC.
- Michigan isn't that good. They just aren't. Let's look at who they beat. They beat Western (I refer to Western Michigan as Western, Eastern Michigan as Eastern, and Central Michigan as CMU), which is not much of a feat. They beat a Notre Dame team that is 3-1. But Notre Dame's loss is to Michigan, their wins are over Nevada (WAC team) and Michigan State and Purdue, 2 teams that lost to MAC teams (CMU and Northern Illinois, respectively). Michigan beat Eastern, and the game was closer than the 45-17 score indicated, scUM (Michigan) didn't put the game away until the 4th quarter against the annual cellar-dwellers of the MAC. They beat Indiana (one of the big ten's worst) by 3 points, and in the game appeared worse at tackling than Michigan State (and that's saying something). Long rant short, Michigan is not one of the best teams in the nation.
- The Pac

NFL picks (against spread) week 3

Here are my (against spread) NFL picks for week 3:
Spread picks (so far): 10-3
Over/Under picks (so far): 6-7
Total (so far): 16-10
O.K., my best against the spread is 11-5 in one week. Ever. Which makes me think, how the heck am I 10-3 so far? I think I'll skip over/under's from now on, it's too much of a guess. But hey, 10-3 isn't too shabby, combined with 12-6 college.
TEN +2.5
NYJ -2.5
PICK: NYJ
JAC +3.5
HOU -3.5
PICK: HOU
KC
PHI
NO LINE
CLE +13
BAL -13
PICK: BAL
NYG -6.5
TB +6.5
PICK: NYG
WAS -6
DET +6
PICK: DET
GB -6.5
STL +6.5
PICK: GB
SF +6.5
MIN -6.5
PICK: SF
ATL +4.5
NE -4.5
PICK: ATL
CHI -2
SEA +2
PICK: CHI
NO -6
BUF +6
PICK: NO
MIA +6
SD -6
PICK: SD
PIT -4
CIN +4
PICK: CIN
DEN -1.5
OAK +1.5
PICK: OAK
IND +2.5
ARI -2.5
PICK: ARI
TEN VS. NYJ OVER/UNDER 37
PICK: OVER
JAC VS. HOU OVER/UNDER 47
PICK: UNDER
KC VS. PHI
NO LINE
CLE VS. BAL OVER/UNDER 38.5
PICK: OVER
NYG VS. TB OVER/UNDER 44
PICK: UNDER
WAS VS. DET OVER/UNDER 38.5
PICK: OVER
GB VS. STL OVER/UNDER 41
PICK: UNDER
SF VS. MIN OVER/UNDER 40
PICK: OVER
ATL VS. NE OVER/UNDER 45.5
PICK: OVER
CHI VS. SEA OVER/UNDER 37
PICK: UNDER
NO VS. BUF OVER/UNDER 52
PICK: OVER
MIA VS. SD OVER/UNDER 44
PICK: UNDER
PIT VS. CIN OVER/UNDER 37
PICK: OVER
DEN VS. OAK OVER/UNDER 36
PICK: UNDER
IND VS. ARI OVER/UNDER 47.5
PICK: UNDER
Let's see how they do!

College Football Picks Week 4

Note that these are OPINION picks.
Record this week: 12-6

correct

incorrect
Alabama -15.5
Arkansas +15.5
Ryan Mallet looked impressive for Arkansas, I don't think Alabama can cover.
Boise State -17
Bowling Green +17
This is an easy one, Boise State should cover this and go above and beyond. They almost covered 17 against a good Fresno State team, Bowling Green is much worse than Fresno.
Iowa +10
Penn State -10
When Penn State is playing a mediocre big 10 team in happy valley, it's going to be a blowout. 41-10 PSU, easy cover.
Missouri -7.5
Nevada +7.5
Earth to people in Vegas, earth to people in Vegas. Do you realize what you're doing here? Nevada is the 3rd best WAC team behind Boise and Fresno, but Missouri is one of the most underrated teams in the nation. Easy cover.
Fresno State +15.5
Cincinnati -15.5
Call me crazy, but I'll take Fresno straight up against Cincy. The Big East is extremely overrated and Fresno gave a much better Boise team a run for their money. Ryan Matthews is a beast, too.
North Carolina +2.5
Georgia Tech -2.5
I've gotta go with UNC here, I'm not high on either of these teams. I know Georgia Tech has hung around with Miami, but my gut tells me UNC and my guy was 14-2 against the spread week 1.
Michigan State +2.5
Wisconsin -2.5
Ah, my beloved Spartans. Sadly, us+Camp Randall= fail. Wiscy isn't good, but we never play well in Camp Randall.
Illinois +14
Ohio State -14
Call me crazy, but OSU isn't that good. Illinois' the pick here.
TCU +2.5
Clemson -2.5
PICK: TCU
Rutgers -0
Maryland +0
PICK: RUTGERS
Akron +15
Central Michigan -15
PICK: CENTRAL MICHIGAN

Florida -20.5

Kentucky +20.5

pick: kentucky

Texas tech -1.5

houston +1.5

pick: houston

washington state +45

usc -45

pick: washington state

toledo +1

florida inter. -1

pick: toledo

nc central +41

duke -41

pick: nc central

cal poly +6.5

san jose state -6.5

pick: san jose state

washington +9

stanford -9

pick: washington

College Football Rankings Week 4

team =

1 Alabama 345.8792

team =

2 Boise State 337.9386

team =

3 Michigan 310.2091

team =

4 Penn State 303.8648

team =

5 LSU 292.2109

team =

6 Washington State 271.6546

team =

7 Auburn 261.5905

team =

8 Ohio State 247.3387

team =

9 USC 240.5307

team =

10 Clemson 237.6044

team =

11 UCLA 232.9695

team =

12 Texas A&M 227.9574

team =

13 Nebraska 200.1923

team =

14 Notre Dame 198.8448

team =

15 Virginia Tech 196.238

team =

16 Oklahoma State 182.3483

team =

17 Stanford 177.1629

team =

18 Utah 172.8123

team =

19 Florida 169.2368

team =

20 Oregon 157.7416

team =

21 Pittsburgh 155.991

team =

22 South Carolina 152.182

team =

23 Kansas 150.9667

team =

24 Connecticut 144.7744

team =

25 Purdue 142.1006

team =

26 Oklahoma 140.042

team =

27 BYU 136.5306

team =

28 Idaho 135.949

team =

29 California 132.2627

team =

30 Iowa 130.6787

team =

31 Florida State 129.3056

team =

32 Bowling Green 125.296

team =

33 Georgia 125.1448

team =

34 Minnesota 121.1606

team =

35 Tennessee 116.6676

team =

36 Navy 115.0439

team =

37 Army 113.6382

team =

38 Colorado 103.6059

team =

39 Cincinnati 101.0487

team =

40 Middle Tennessee 100.8725

team =

41 North Carolina 96.5639

team =

42 North Texas 91.9636

team =

43 Missouri 90.3348

team =

44 Wake Forest 89.6055

team =

45 Troy 89.1428

team =

46 UAB 88.7468

team =

47 Syracuse 87.5491

team =

48 Colorado State 87.4746

team =

49 Buffalo 86.3491

team =

50 Duke 82.7722

team =

51 Miami (FL) 81.9453

team =

52 Indiana 80.5373

team =

53 Western Michigan 79.0159

team =

54 Tulsa 77.9017

team =

55 Texas A&M 76.8801

team =

56 Hawaii 75.0078

team =

57 Toledo 74.8046

team =

58 Georgia Tech 74.8044

team =

59 Northern Illinois 73.345

team =

60 UTEP 71.1923

team =

61 Marshall 69.3951

team =

62 Kentucky 67.903

team =

63 Wisconsin 67.3379

team =

64 Ohio 66.9905

team =

65 Baylor 66.429

team =

66 Texas Tech 64.4803

team =

67 Houston 63.6558

team =

68 Washington State 62.1519

team =

69 UCF 61.1555

team =

70 Southern Methodist 60.7236

team =

71 Southern Miss 60.6209

team =

72 West Virginia 59.0942

team =

73 Eastern Michigan 58.7635

team =

74 Air Force 58.1784

team =

75 Arizona 56.5022

team =

76 Michigan State 55.6837

team =

77 Fresno State 53.1308

team =

78 Northwestern 53.1071

team =

79 Mississippi State 52.9912

team =

80 UNLV 52.1015

team =

81 Oregon State 41.6033

team =

82 Maryland 40.8081

team =

83 San Jose State 39.0278

team =

84 Rice 38.2375

team =

85 Utah State 37.4056

team =

86 Boston College 35.9543

team =

87 Florida International34.4489

team =

88 San Diego State 34.0939

team =

89 Ball State 33.6489

team =

90 Rutgers 32.7911

team =

91 Louisiana Tech 31.5009

team =

92 Kansas State 27.2301

team =

93 Central Michigan 25.951

team =

94 Akron 25.1048

team =

95 New Mexico 24.3634

team =

96 Virginia 24.0504

team =

97 Louisiana-Monroe 22.945

team =

98 TCU 21.9423

team =

99 Louisiana-Lafayette 20.2249

team =

100 Vanderbilt 20.0673

team =

101 Iowa State 19.5073

team =

102 Louisville 19.4988

team =

103 Florida Atlantic 18.5178

team =

104 Wyoming 17.9194

team =

105 Arizona State 17.3261

team =

106 Eastern Carolina 17.3241

team =

107 North Carolina State 16.9809

team =

108 Arkansas 15.9985

team =

109 Ole Miss 15.7826

team =

110 New Mexico State 15.5589

team =

111 Memphis 14.243

team =

112 Arkansas State 14.1445

team =

113 South Florida 13.8066

team =

114 Tulane 12.6358

team =

115 Temple 12.5809

team =

116 Western Kentucky 10.6276

team =

117 Nevada 9.3501

team =

118 Miami (OH) 7.8444

team =

119 Illinois 7.7212

team =

120 Kent State 7.3123

Sorry, the picks I had based off of these rankings used a flawed formula. Opinion picks coming soon.

The College football rankings have...

Run into, um I'm being told they're technical difficulties. We should have an update shortly (shortly could mean tomorrow morning or if the program fails it could mean a week from now). It shouldn't be later than this weekend.

AL wild card race & College Football Rating Formula Week 2

As far as the college football stuff, I've e-mailed it off to Dad (as the formula is on his computer

) and the results should be up tonight (but I could run into unprecedented difficulties). So anyways, here is my analysis of the AL card race (NL soon) (number in parentheses is magic number).

AL:

Boston

Texas 4.5 GB (16)

Seattle 11 GB (9)

Tampa Bay 12 GB (8)

Minnesota 13 GB (7)

CHW 14 GB (6)

Oakland 19.5 GB (1)

NOTE: Toronto, Baltimore, Kansas City eliminated from wild card and division contention. Cleveland is eliminated in the wild card, but can still win the Central.

After Boston and Texas, nobody realistically has a shot. So let's concentrate on Boston and Texas. Remember that Texas needs to pick up 5 more wins then Boston. I'm going to color-code this, red for Boston, blue for Texas.

SCHEDULE:

3 LAA 1-2

3 BAL 3-0

4 KC 4-0

3 NYY 1-2

3 TOR 2-1

4 CLE 2-2

2 OAK 2-0

OFF

3 LAA 1-2

4 OAK 3-1

3 TB 2-1

4 LAA 2-2

3 SEA 2-1

13-7 

12-7 

So, Boston actually picks up half a game on Texas. Unless Boston has a total meltdown, they have pretty much secured the AL wild card. And their 7.5 back of the Yankees, so they aren't gonna win the East. Safe to say the Red Sox will play the Yankees in the 1-4.

More soon!

COLLEGE FOOTBALL RESULTS!!! FINALLY!!!

team =1 Kentucky 100
team =1 Notre Dame 100
team =3 Nebraska 94
team =3 USC 94
team =5 Texas A&M 88
team =5 Arizona 88
team =5 Idaho 88
team =8 Michigan 86
team =8 Penn State 86
team =8 Tennessee 86
team =11 Boise State 84
team =12 Missouri 82
team =13 Clemson 80
team =13 Cincinnati 80
team =13 Oklahoma State 80
team =13 Texas A&M 80
team =13 California 80
team =13 Stanford 80
team =13 UCLA 80
team =13 Auburn 80
team =13 Ole Miss 80
team =13 Utah 80
team =13 Bowling Green 80
team =13 North Texas 80
team =13 Tulsa 80
team =13 Army 80
team =27 UAB 79.7059
team =28 Purdue 77.6506
team =29 South Carolina 75
team =30 Alabama 73.6207
team =31 Connecticut 63.9744
team =32 Wisconsin 63.3333
team =33 Colorado State 62.5
team =33 Buffalo 62.5
team =35 LSU 62.4074
team =36 Minnesota 58.4884
team =37 Ohio State 58.4483
team =38 Baylor 58.3333
team =39 Florida State 57.7778
team =40 BYU 56.8519
team =41 Oklahoma 43.1481
team =42 Miami (FL) 42.2222
team =43 Wake Forest 41.6667
team =44 Navy 41.5517
team =45 Syracuse 41.5116
team =46 Washington State 37.5926
team =47 Colorado 37.5
team =47 UTEP 37.5
team =49 Northern Illinois 36.6667
team =50 Ohio 36.0256
team =51 Virginia Tech 26.3793
team =52 North Carolina State 25
team =53 Toledo 22.3494
team =54 Rice 20.2941
team =55 Maryland 20
team =55 Ball State 20
team =55 Eastern Michigan 20
team =55 Tulane 20
team =55 Rutgers 20
team =55 Washington State 20
team =55 Georgia 20
team =55 San Diego State 20
team =55 Louisiana Tech 20
team =55 Utah State 20
team =55 Louisiana-Monroe 20
team =55 Middle Tennessee 20
team =55 Troy 20
team =55 Memphis 20
team =69 Illinois 18
team =70 Oregon 16
team =71 Akron 14
team =71 Western Michigan 14
team =71 Western Kentucky 14
team =74 New Mexico 12
team =74 New Mexico State 12
team =74 Central Michigan 12
team =77 San Jose State 6
team =77 Florida Atlantic 6

Error notice: the college football rankings formula is not working

IMPORTANT:
THIS IS CURRENTLY VERY WEIRD. IT APPEARS THE FORMULA WORKED CORRECTLY FOR SOME GAMES, BUT NOT FOR OTHERS. AND I FORGOT TO MENTION, BUT UNTIL WEEK 5 THESE RANKINGS SHOULD BE CONSIDERED PROVISIONAL. I SHOULD HAVE THE CORRECT FORMULA FOR EVERYTHING BY 10:00 PM EASTERN TONIGHT.
Sort of. One part of the formula isn't working (I'm fixing it manually. But have no fear, as it's relatively simple to fix. Which means the rankings are here (really really late). Here you go.
team =1 Kentucky 100
team =2 Notre Dame 100
team =3 USC 94
team =4 Nebraska 99.2308
team =5 California 95
team =6 Tennessee 86
team =7 Texas A&M 92.234
team =8 Tulsa 80
team =9 Michigan 86
team =10 Penn State 86
team =11 Boise State 80
team =12 Idaho 82.7778
team =13 Missouri 82
team =14 Ole Miss 81.2712
team =15 Arizona 81
team =16 Army 80.8537
team =17 Cincinnati 80.8065
team =18 Stanford 80
team =19 North Texas 80
team =20 Texas A&M 79.6835
team =21 Auburn 79
team =22 Clemson 77.549
team =23 Oklahoma State 80
team =24 UCLA 75.2128
team =25 South Carolina 75
team =26 Bowling Green 80
team =27 Alabama 73.6207
team =28 Utah 80
team =29 UAB 80
team =30 Purdue 77
team =31 Connecticut 63.9744
team =32 Wisconsin 63.3333
team =33 Colorado State 62.5
team =34 Buffalo 62.5
team =35 LSU 62.4074
team =36 Minnesota 58
team =37 Ohio State 58
team =38 Baylor 58
team =39 Florida State 57.7778
team =40 BYU 56.8519
team =41 Oklahoma 43.1481
team =42 Miami (FL) 42.2222
team =43 Wake Forest 42
team =44 Navy 42
team =45 Syracuse 42
team =46 Washington State 37.5926
team =47 Colorado 37.5
team =48 UTEP 37.5
team =49 Northern Illinois 36.6667
team =50 Ohio 36.0256
team =51 Toledo 23
team =52 Rice 30.2941
team =53 Utah St 20
team =54 Virginia Tech 26.3793
team =55 Troy 20
team =56 North Carolina State 25
team =57 San Diego State 24.7872
team =58 Georgia 20
team =59 Middle Tennessee 22.451
team =60 Louisiana Tech 21
team =61 Louisiana-Monroe 20.3165
team =62 Ball State 20
team =63 Washington State 20
team =64 Rutgers 19.1935
team =65 Eastern Michigan 19.1463
team =66 Central Michigan 19
team =67 Memphis 18.7288
team =68 Illinois 18
team =69 New Mexico State 17.2222
team =70 Oregon 20
team =71 Akron 14
team =72 Western Michigan 14
team =73 Tulane 20
team =74 New Mexico 7.766
team =75 Maryland 5
team =76 Western Kentucky 14
team =77 Florida Atlantic 0.76923
team =78 San Jose State 6

College football stuff

Hey guys,
The college football rankings formula has run into unforseen diffuculties, (i.e. the computer that has the document on it isn't working). So, here's my college football poll (note that this has NO formula, it is purely my opinion).
1. Florida
2. Alabama
3. USC
4. BYU
5. Texas
6. Oklahoma State
7. Ole Miss
8. Penn State
9. California
10. Ohio State
11. Boise State
12. LSU
13. Georgia Tech
14. Oklahoma
15. TCU
16. Kansas
17. Georgia
18. Nebraska
19. Notre Dame
20. Miami (FL)
21. Virginia Tech
22. Utah
23. Michigan State
24. North Carolina
25. Houston
Questions, Comments e-mail ivarngizteb@gmail.com

College Football Rankings update

Hey guys,

Sorry I haven't posted in a while, as I've been busy working on the college football rankings. I'm starting to get ready for the 2009 season. This is some of what I have (I'm on week 3, and what I'm about to show you is the first 6th of week 1)

WEEK 1:

Div1Data (3,9,1)= ;

Div1Data (3,9,2)= ;

Div1Data (9,3,1)= ;

Div1Data (9,3,2)= ;

Div1Data (6,100,1)= ;

Div1Data (6,100,2)= ;

Div1Data (100,6,1)= ;

Div1Data (100,6,2)= ;

Div1Data (8,185,1)= ;

Div1Data (8,185,2)= ;

Div1Data (185,8,1)= ;

Div1Data (185,8,2)= ;

Div1Data (10,80,1)= ;

Div1Data (10,80,2)= ;

Div1Data (80,10,1)= ;

Div1Data (80,10,2)= ;

Div1Data (11,109,1)= ;

Div1Data (11,109,2)= ;

Div1Data (12,66,1)= ;

Div1Data (12,66,2)= ;

Div1Data (66,12,1)= ;

Div1Data (66,12,2)= ;

Div1Data (20,24,1)= ;

Div1Data (20,24,2)= ;

Div1Data (24,20,1)= ;

Div1Data (24,20,2)= ;

It's like that. But it goes on. And on. And on. And did I mention that I type in the LEAST in week 1 because a lot of teams play division 2 teams? Yeah. I'd post the entire thing, but it would get kind of boring. Anyways, I'm going to have weekly college football picks. Starting next week, they'll be based of the rankings. I'd do them this week, but I don't feel I'm knowledgeable enough to make picks on all of the Division 1 teams. I guess it's time to go back to Div1Data'ing. *Sigh*. Cya!

 

Fantasy Football Rankings- QB

Same deal as the RB and WR rankings, list should have 30 when I'm done. If you have questions, comments, e-mail ivarngizteb@gmail.com

1. Peyton Manning, IND

2. Drew Brees, NO

3. Tom Brady, NE

TO BE CONTINUED

Fantasy Football Rankings- WR

Same deal as the RB rankings, but for WR's. List should have 50 when it's done. If you have questions of comments, e-mail me at ivarngizteb@gmail.com

1. Andre Johnson, HOU

2. Larry Fitzgerald, ARI

3. Randy Moss, NE

4. Reggie Wayne, IND

5. Steve Smith, CAR

6. Roddy White, ATL

7. Calvin Johnson, DET

TO BE CONTINUED

Fantasy Football Rankings- RB

Hey guys, I'm back. In your fantasy football draft, your first pick is normally a RB. Sure, you can grab a Fitz or Andre Johnson later in the first round, but normally you go RB. Here are my RB rankings for this year. The color-coding are tiers. Questions, comments, e-mail me at ivarngizteb@gmail.com

1. Maurice Jones-Drew, JAC 

2. Adrian Peterson, MIN

3. Matt Forte, CHI

4. Stephen Jackson, STL

5. LaDanian Tomlinson, SD

6. Chris Johnson, TEN

7. Michael Turner, ATL

8. Frank Gore, SF

9. DeAngelo Williams, CAR

10. Brandon Jacobs, NYG

11. Steve Slaton, HOU

12. Marion Barber, DAL

13. Clinton Portis, WAS

To be continued, need to do more research. In the end, this will probably have 50 RB's on it.

College Football Playoff, MLB analysis

I'm working on the college football playoff. I did some tests today, the formula looks good. It's pretty mathematical and hard to explain, but it'll turn out pretty good. And it could probably be used to predict winners in college football. As far as the wild card race, in the AL the Red Sox and Rangers are the only real contenders. A look at the start of  a daily series of possibly playoff-bound teams:

Yankees 73-43 6.5 over Red Sox in the East 

The Yankees have a 2.5 game lead over the Angels for the AL lead, and they look like a solid bet to make the playoffs. I don't think they're built for the playoffs, as they don't really play as a team, and don't have the sheer force to win without playing as a team.  

Playoff chance: 85%

College Football Playoff/ Baseball Picks

I'm developing my own absolutely pwnsome college football playoff system. After the first "itteration" I'll post the rankings. Note that those are definately NOT the real rankings. For now, here are my baseball odds and picks:

TEX -115

CLE -105

I'm confused on why this is so close. Texas is the obvious pick in my mind.

KC +149

MIN -169

Tough one. Minnesota has a slight advantage in my mind.

Detroit -104

Boston -116

Tigers are finally a favorite *happy dance*. Bucholz is not what he has been in past years, and Verlander is the best pitcher in the AL when he's hot. I think Verlander will be on his game here, Tigers are the pick.

San Diego +185

Milwaukee -215

This line rather confuses me. Sure, SD's pitcher hasn't pitched yet this year, but Parra has a 6.26 ERA and the Brewers are on a losing streak. SD all the way.

Philadelphia -139

Chicago Cubs +119

The Cubs are in a slump, and the Phillies aren't a good team to play when you're in a s lump. Phillies all the way.

Pittsburgh +210

Colorado -250

Colorado is not good enough to get a -250. Even if they had Zach Greinke pitching (even though he's a royal) and they were playing the Nats, they shouldn't get -250. Pirates.

Houston +132

Florida -152

I'm going to go out on a limb here and pick Houston. They know it's crunch time, and I think they can deliver. Watch out for them to make a Rockies-like run down the stretch.

Washington +138

Cincinnati -158

I'm going with the Nats, as I think that the winning streak wasn't a fluke and they have some promise. The Reds would be a good team to show that against.

Well, I guess I'll go back to working of college football now, cya later!

I'm back, and with some new stuff

Hey guys, I'm back! And here's a run-down of what I'll have for the next month:
- My baseball picks, hopefully 3 times a week
- Overview of the race down the stretch in the MLB
- NFL preseason coverage, and regular season predictions
-NCAAF outlook and coverage
- NASCAR coverage, hopefully live updates during races, and overview of the standings down the stretch
-Possibly complete coverage of a NCAAF playoff for last year
-And more!!!

Welcome back with some MLB

I've been pretty busy lately, but in the last week I've started to bet on baseball. 6 days ago I started with $250 and now I have $262.33. Unfortunately, I'm not using real money. My thoughts on today's lines:

KC +146 STL -166 

KC's starter has a 16.88 ERA? No thank you.

Pick: STL

TEX -130 HOU +110

Texas is the better team with the better pitcher. Being a Tigers fan, when we played the Rangers they looked pretty darn good.

Pick: TEX

PHI +143 NYY -163

Happ, the starter for the Phillies is pitching 2.49. Pettitte is pitching 4.18. Philadelphia won last night. It's always hard to bounce back from a loss after a long win streak.

Pick: PHI

PIT +118 CHW -138

These 2 teams have equal records, equal pitchers. The pick is the Pirates because this should be a -110 -110 line, and Pitt's the underdog when the teams are equal, thus they get the pick.

Pick: PIT

NYM +156 BOS -176

Mets have slightly better pitcher ERA-wise.  Even without Delgado, the Mets have a nice group of guys at the top of the line-up. The Red Sox are a grind it out team. Mets on gut instinct.

Pick: NYM

BAL (-125)	WAS (+105)	BAL
COL (+124)	DET (-144)	DET
MIL (-111)	MIN (-109)	MIL
TOR (+126)	ATL (-146)	TOR
CLE (-112)	CIN (-108)	CIN
ARI (-150)	OAK (+130)	ARI
LAA (+112)	LAD (-132)	LAD

That's the rest of my picks. I'd analyze them, but I've gotta go. Another post coming either before 1 tomorrow.

Draft thoughts

My 1st round draft thoughts.

Detroit: Matt Stafford, QB Georgia

The Lions go with the textbook pick. I would've taken Jason Smith, but Stafford is a fair choice.

St. Louis: Jason Smith, OT Baylor

Well, I started out the day 2 for 2. It didn't last. It's a good think at least 1 GM had his brain plugged in today.

Kansas City: Tyson Jackson, DE LSU

What the heck was Scott Pioli thinking? You took a 3-4 end last year. You pass up on the most talented player in the draft (Aaron Curry) for a probable bust.

Seattle: Aaron Curry, ILB Wake Forest

Inside line backer might only be a minor need, but Curry is WAY too much talent to pass up here.

New York Jets (via Cleveland): Mark Sanchez, QB USC

I really hadn't considerd the Jets trading up for Sanchez. I thought it would be Denver or Washington trading up to #8. The Jets really won out on this trade, only giving up a 1st rounder, a backup QB and 2 defensive lineman.

Cinncinatti: Andre Smith, OT Alabama

Unlike others, I thought that Smith was higher than Monroe on the Bengals' big board. Smith will have more immediate impact that Monroe, and with Marvin Lewis on thin ice, immediate impact is what the Bengals need.  

Oakland: Darius Heward-Bey, WR Maryland

As I'm watching the draft, I'm thinking: Man, wouldn't it be classic if Al Davis picked Heward-Bey over Crabtree? And that's exactly what he did. I guess Davis really only cares about 40 times.

Jacksonville: Eugene Monroe, OT Virginia

I totally disagree with this pick. With such a gaping hole at receiver, and Crabtree still on the board, they should've taken Crabtree here. Monroe will fit in well at right tackle, where the Jags have a gaping hole.

Green Bay: B.J. Raji, NT Boston College

Crabtree wasn't an option here because of the depth at receiver, and with the switch to 3-4, it was Jackson or Raji. Scott Pioli chose Raji for them in all reality.

San Fransisco: Michael Crabtree, WR Texas Tech

I'll be the first to criticize this pick. Mike Singletary will not like Crabtree's work ethic. He just isn't a "winner". Crabtree just isn't a good pick for the 9'ers

Buffalo: Aaron Maybin, DE Penn State

Thank god I'm not a Bills fan. Maybin or Everette Brown would be avalible at 28 (Brown actually was). This definately should've been Brian Orakpo.

Denver: Knowshon Moreno, RB Georgia

The draft of brainless GM's continues. COME ON! Beanie or Knowshon (probably both) will be there at 18 (Beanie was). They pass up on Oher, Orakpo. 

Washington: Brian Orakpo, DE/OLB Texas

Finally! Daniel Snyder is the first GM to realize Orakpo's value! This pick seriously only took 20 seconds, if I was Snyder it would take me 2 seconds.

New Orleans: Malcom Jenkins, CB/FS OSU

Unless Aaron Curry, Jason Smith or Mark Sanchez was avalible here, this was Jenkins as a lock. Perfect fit in the Saints' secondary.

Houston: Brian Cushing, OLB USC

Well, this was either Cushing or Clay Matthews. Of course, I chose Matthews which means it has to be Cushing.

San Diego: Larry English, DE/OLB Northern Illinois

If I were a Chargers fan, I'd want to kill their GM. You pick LARRY ENGLISH over REY MALALUGA and CLAY MATTHEWS???? This was a little bit ridicoulous.

Tampa Bay (from Cleveland, Jets): Josh Freeman, QB Kansas State

Smart move jumping over Denver here. Freeman is a very possible bust though. Expect Leftwitch to start most of the year.

Denver (from Chicago): Robert Ayers, DE Tennessee

2 horrible picks by the Broncos. Picking Ayers over Michael Oher? Seriously?

Philadelphia (from Cleveland, Tampa Bay): Jeremy Maclin, WR/KR Missouri

Cleveland trades down yet again. What was the point of trading up exactly? The Lidowns weren't going to take Maclin.

Detroit (from Dallas): Brandon Pettigrew, TE Oklahoma State

I seriosuly thought Matt Millen stepped into our room and made this pick for us. I was chanting Oher, Oher, Oher! I couldn't bear this. We needed a lineman.

Cleveland (from Philadelphia): Alex Mack, C California

Cleveland finally drafts somebody! Alex Mack is a bit of a reach here, but it was a rather smart choice for Eric Mangini standards. They needed a major interior O-line upgrade.

Minnesota: Percy Harvin, WR Florida

Brad Clueless strikes again. Harvin over Oher. Seriously? When you having a gaping hole at tackle?

Baltimore (from New England): Michael Oher, OT Mississippi

Oher is an absoulute STEAL here. What would've made more sense to me is Baltimore trading up with the Browns, because Mack would still be on the board at 26.  

Atlanta: Peria Jerry, DT Mississippi

Good pick here. The D-line could use a upgrade and Jerry is slightly better than Ziggy Hood.

Miami: Vontae Davis, CB Illinois

Very un-characteristic pick here. Bill Parcells seriously looks at character issues, so they must have thought Davis was very talented. 

Green Bay (from New England, Baltimore): Clay Matthews, OLB

The Packers linebackers aren't getting any younger, any one of the USC linebackers would be a good choice here.

Indianapolis: Donald Brown, RB Connecticut

My intial reaction was: Why not Beanie? He's a better back that Brown. I need to look into that. RB was inevitable here.

Buffalo (from Philadelphia): Eric Wood, C Louisville

2 centers in the 1st round?!?! 2 very bad picks by the Bills, the Maybin pick is made worse by the fact that Everette Brown is still on the board here.

New York Giants: Hakeem Nicks, WR UNC

With the current board, Nicks was inevitable. He fits in Plaxico's shoes perfectly.

Tennessee: Kenny Britt, WR Rutgers

Smart choice here. The have a gaping hole at receiver, and Britt is the best one on the board

Arizona: Chris 'Beanie' Wells, RB Ohio State

It was clear the Cards were jumping for joy that Beanie made it to 31. Perfect fit to make Edgerinn James a free agent.

Pittsburgh: Evander 'Ziggy' Hood DT Missouri

With Mack, Wood, and Jerry off the board, this pick was a lock for Hood. 

That's all for my thoughts, sorry about the spelling mistakes because I'm half asleep.

NFL Draft

The NBA Playoffs are kind of absorbing it up, but the NFL Draft starts Saturday April 25th. Here's my first round mock:

Last Updated 4-24-09 10:00 PM, Next update 4-25-09 2:00 PM.

DET: Matthew Stafford, QB Georgia

No-brainer here. The 0-16 team needs the franchise QB.

STL: Jason Smith, OT Baylor

Either Smith or Monroe, Smith is slightly more athletic.

KC: Aaron Curry, ILB Wake Forest

A perfect fit into the new Chiefs system, and less injury-prone than Orakpo.

SEA: Eugene Monroe, OT Virginia

Either Monroe or Crabtree. Crabtree has more bust potential (being a wideout). I'm just not buying Sanchez, they have Hassleback and aren't going to give up on him yet.

CLE: Michael Crabtree, WR Texas Tech

I think they'll let go of Braylon Edwards, and you can't have your only real wideout be having leagal problems (Donte Stallworth).

CIN: Andre Smith, OT Alabama

It's either this or Raji. I'll pick Smith because the Bungals just need to give Palmer some time in the pocket.

OAK: Brian Orakpo, DE/OLB Texas

Orakpo slides because he's injury-prone, Michael Johnson is too big of a reach and nobody wants to trade up. Al Davis isn't afraid to go against the grain, so he still might choose Johnson here.

DEN: Mark Sanchez, QB USC

The whole point of trading up with Jacksonville is to get Sanchez. Orton just isn't the answer in the new system.

GB: B.J. Raji, NT Boston College

A great deal at this point on the board, this could also be Maybin or Brown depending on what the Packers think about DE or NT being a greater need.

SF: Aaron Maybin, DE/OLB Penn State

Without Sanchez on the board, they go with Maybin, who upgrades a faltering pass rush. He's over Everette Brown because he has more upside.

BUF: Everette Brown, DE Florida State

This pick is Maybin/Brown, whoever the 9er's don't take at 10. The Bills couldn't get to the passer at all last year, this could also be Michael Oher.

JAC: Jeremy Maclin, WR Mizzouri

Jacksonville needs a speedy wide receiver, I think Maclin is more athletic than Heward-Bey.

WAS: Michael Oher, OT Mississippi

Oher is the last top-tier OT left on the board, so Washington upgrades there. Daniel Snyder is fed up with Jason Campbell, so don't rule out Josh Freeman here.

NO: Malcolm Jenkins, CB/FS Ohio State

As close to a lock as you can get, a perfect versatile fit in the struggling Saints secondary.  

HOU: Clay Matthews, OLB USC

Yet another pick change here. The Texans could use help on in their linebacking corps, so Matthews is a good choice.

SD: Rey Malaluga, ILB USC

If Malaluga's on the board here, he has to be the pick. The Chargers secondary could use a major upgrade, and the only worth-while first round USC linebacker goes here.

NYJ: Josh Freeman, QB Kansas State

Kellen Clemens just isn't the answer. Josh Freeman is a quarterback that's built for a great career, his size will let him last a while.

DEN: Tyson Jackson, DE LSU

Jackson is a canidate to go to the Broncos at 12, so he's a no-brainer here. He's a perfect fit in their new defense.

TB: Peria Jerry, DT Mississippi

If Josh Freeman's still on the board, then he's the pick. Otherwise, Peria Jerry could probably start next year in an aging defensive line.

DET: William Beatty, OT Connecticut

This is either Beatty or Britton, and I think it'll be Beatty, because his measurements are a tiny bit better. If they don't get a tackle to back up Stafford, I'll never be a Lions fan again. Then again, I said that when we drafted Charles Rogers, didn't I?

PHI: Chris "Beanie" Wells, RB Ohio State

There's always one shocker pick on draft day, and it could be Andy Reid taking Beanie over Knowshon.

MIN: Ebon Britton, OT Arizona

They need to go offensive tackle, and Britton is the last first-round tackle on the board.

NE: Connor Barwin, DE/OLB Cinnicnati

The perfect 3-4 ILB for the Pats.

ATL: Brian Cushing, OLB USC

After the Tony Gonzalez trade, the linebacking corps need to be addressed. With only 1 USC linebacker left on the board, this is an obvious pick. 

MIA: Robert Ayers, DE Tennessee

Bill Paecells always addresses defensive line early in the draft, and Ayers is a steal at this point.

BAL: Derius Heward-Bey, WR Maryland

This is either Heward-Bey or Maclin, whoever the Jaguars don't take at #12.  Baltimore's receivers aren't all that good and Joe Flacco could use some targets.

IND: Sean Smith, FS Utah

Sean Smith helps them at safety, with Bob Sanders' injury problems, and the Colts secondary is starting to get pretty old.

BUF: Brandon Pettigrew, TE Oklahoma State

In the wake of the Tony Gonzalez trade, the odds of Pettigrew falling to 28 have risen astronomically. Pettigrew would be a perfect fit in the Bills offense.

NYG: Kenny Britt, WR Rutgers

This could be Vontae Davis, but if they don't land Braylon Edwards they'll probabaly go receiver here.

TEN: Vontae Davis, CB Illinois

The Titans have proved they don't get overly concerned with character issues, so Vontae Davis is a steal at this point.

ARI: Knowshon Moreno, RB Georgia

Arizona needs a running back here, Edregin James is old and slow, Moreno is an absolute steal at the #31 pick. 

PIT: Alex Mack, C California

Pittsburgh's o-line needs some help, this pick is either Mack or Unger.

Trade:

Denver gives Jacksonville 3rd round pick, 12th pick

Jacksonville gives Denver 8th pick

Auto Bids

RED IS CLINCHED BLUE IS PROJECTED

UPDATED AFTER ALL CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS

AMEREAST- BING

ATL10- TEMP

ACC- DUKE

ATLSUN- ETENNST

BIG12- MIZZ

BIGE- LOU

BIGSKY- PORTST

BIGSOUTH- RADF

BIG10- PUR

BIGWEST- CSNORT

CAA- VCU

CONFUSA- MEMP

HORZ- CLEST

IVY- CORN

MAAC- SIENA

MAC- AKR

MEAC- MORGST

MVALL- NIOWA

MWEST- UTAH

NEC- ROBMOR

OVC- MOHEST

PAC10- USC

PATRIOT- AMER

SEC- MISST

SOUTH- CHAT

SLAND- SFA

SWAC- ALAST

SUMMIT- NDST

SUNBELT- WKENT

WCC- GONZ

WAC- UTST

3-15-09 Bracket

UPDATED AFTER ALL CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS

LOCK, NO AUTO, NO PROJECTED

LOCK, PROJECTED, NO AUTO

LOCK, AUTO

NO LOCK, AUTO

NO LOCK, NO AUTO, PROJECTED

NO LOCK, NO AUTO, NO PROJECTED

WEST VS. EAST

MIDWEST VS. SOUTH

SOUTH

#1 UNC

#16 ALAST/CSNORT

#8 WVU

#9 MICH

#5 KAN

#12 NIOWA

#4 UTAH

#13 WKENT

#6 DAY

#11 TENN

#3 MIZZ

#14 SFA

#7 BUT

#10 MINN

#2 UCONN

#15 CORN

WEST

#1 DUKE

#16 ETENNST

#8 LSU

#9 MARQ

#5 WASH

#12 VCU

#4 PUR

#13 ROBMOR

#6 XAV

#11 MARY

#3 VILL

#14 NDST

#7 BYU

#10 SIENA

#2 OKLA

#15 RADF

MIDWEST

#1 PITT

#16 MOHEST

#8 CAL

#9 SDSU

#5 ILL

#12 MISST

#4 FSU

#13 AMER

#6 OKST

#11 UTST

#3 WAKE

#14 PORTST

#7 AZST

#10 WISC

#2 MEMP

#15 AKR

SOUTH

#1 LOU

#16 MORGST

#8 TEXAM

#9 OSU

#5 UCLA

#12 TEMP

#4 CLEM

#13 CLEST

#6 GONZ

#11 USC

#3 SYRA

#14 BING

#7 BOSCOLL

#10 TEX

#2 MSU

#15 CHAT

Last 4 in:

1. Tennessee

2. Texas

3. Minnesoa

4. (Last in) Maryland

Waiting List:

1. (Last out) Arizona

2. Penn State

3. Creighton

4. Providence

Nobody that's not on this page has any chance. The waiting list has 6 teams and there are 3 teams square on the bubble and 3 pretty safe.

Bracketology 3-11-09

This is before today's games.

MIDWEST

#1 PITT

#16 ALAST/CSNORT

#8 TEXAM

#9 OSU

#5 CLEM

#12 SC

#4 ILL

#13 WESTKEN

#3 WASH

#14 SFA

#6 BYU

#11 MICH

#7 BOSCOLL

#10 ARI

#2 MEMP

#15 CORN

SOUTH

#1 UNC

#16 RADF

#8 LSU

#9 TEX

#5 PUR

#12 VCU

#4 SYRA

#13 ROBMOR

#3 FSU

#14 BING

#6 UCLA

#11 PROV

#7 GONZ

#10 MINN

#2 OKLA

#15 CHAT

EAST

#1 UCONN

#16 MOHEST

#8 WISC

#9 WVU

#5 MIZZ

#12 PSU

#4 UTAH

#13 AMER

#3 WAKE

#14 PORTST

#6 CAL

#11 NEWMEX

#7 DAY

#10 SIENA

#2 LOU

#15 NDST

WEST

#1 MSU

#16 ETENNST

#8 BUT

#9 MARQ

#5 XAV

#12 MARY

#4 KAN

#13 NIOWA

#3 VILL

#14 CLEST

#6 AZST

#11 TENN

#7 OKST

#10 UTST

#2 DUKE

#15 BUFF

I'll probabaly update tommorrow morning and at Friday around 7:00ish.

  Ivar

Seeds 3/10/09

These are the seeds before 3-10-09's games:

1: PITT, UNC, UCONN, MSU

2: MEMP, OKLA, LOU, DUKE

3: WASH, WAKE, VILL, FSU

4: KAN, SYRA, ILL, UTAH

5: PUR, XAV, MIZZ, CLEM

6: AZST, BUT, CAL, BYU

7: UCLA, DAY, GONZ, OKST

8: LSU, BOSCOLL, WISC, TEXAM

9: MARQ, WVU, OSU, TEX

10: ARI, MINN, SIEN, UTST

11: MICH, NMEX, PROV, TENN

12: MARY, SC, PSU, VTECH

13: VIRCOMM, AMER, ROBMOR, NIOWA, 

14: WKENT, BING, WEBST, SFA, 

15: CORN, NDST, CHAT, BUFF

16: ETENNST, RADF, MOHEST, ALAST, CSNORT

I apoligize for the lack of update and the bad quality of this one. I'll provide you with extremely (almost interactive) updates over the weekend.

Seeds 3/8/09

1's: PITT, UNC, UCONN, MSU

The Huskies fall despite a loss to Pitt, but Pitt's a good team and it was pretty close so Uconn stays as a #1.

2's: DUKE, OKLA, MEMP, LOU

Everybody stays the same here, with the exception of Louisville falling. I saw them play in the 2nd half against West Virginia and there free throws are just horrid.

3's: WASH, VILL, KAN, WAKE

Mizzouri isn't the explosive team I thought they were. Washington and Villanova are dangerous, though Kansas and Wake are just too on and off.

4's: FSU, SYRA, PUR, CLEM

Syracuse's win against Marquette impressed me, even without Dominique James. Others are just sliding up right up the S-Curve.

5's: ILL, UTAH, MIZZ, XAV

Mizzouri and Xavier, what exactly happened? One of you got blown away by a bubble team, the other lost to Richmond? Either somebody messed up the scores, or Mizzouri and Xavier aren't the teams I thought they were.

6's: AZST, BUT, CAL, BYU

I don't know how some of these teams got this high. I din't know you could get this high by sliding right up the S-curve.

7's: UCLA, GONZ, DAY, OKST

I came to the sad reality with more investigation today that I had overestimated Dayton and Oklahoma State. They're both still dangerous teams, though.

8's: LSU, BOSCOLL, MARQ, WISC

Marquette's season has come all crashing down on their heads in the past week or 2. Boston College and Wisconsin I've promoted to lock status, and they're both dangerous.

9's: WVU, TEXAM, TEX, OSU

Texas A&M is yes, you're not reading wrong, my pick to win the big-12 tourney. They're the hottest team in the Big 12 as they proved in their crushing of Missouri today.

10's: UNLV, ARI, MINN, TENN

This is an array of dangerous teams with a weak group of 2 seeds. Watch out for another Davidsonish run. The Golden Gophers are better that other think.

11's: DAVID, UTST, VATECH, SIENA

Davidson, Utah State and Siena are all in danger if they fail to win their conference tourneys. They're all hanging onto that lifeline, they're getting the 11 instead of the 13 because they'll actually be considered shall they not win their conf. tourney.

12's: MICH, KANST, SC, STMARY

Michigan, Kansas State and South Carolina are part of my last 4 in. I know they're in red below, but I messed those numbers up.

13's: AMER, VIRCOMM, FLA, ROBMOR

American could definately go higher, but won't. I realized I left my projected NEC champ (Robert Morris) out of the last bracket.

14's: WESTKEN, NIWA, WEBST, SFA

North Iowa takes the spot Creighton vacated by losing badly to Illinois State.The others are just following the S Curve.

15's: CORN, NDST, BUFF, ETENNST

I'm calling these Blah teams. Blah Blah Blah Blah.

16's: RADF, MOREHEADST, MORGST, ALAST, CSNORT

More Blah teams! Yeah!

Red- Clinched a bid

Blue- Locked but not projected conf. champ

Green- Projected conf. champ but not locked

Brown- Locked and projected conf. champ

Looking back: Saturday

Let's overview what happened today. 4 teams punched their tourney tickets. Morehead State, Radford, Cornell and East Tennessee State all have clinched. #1 UCONN fell to #3 PITT for the second time this season. Texas A&M got an impressive win against MIZZOU. Rhode Island lost a must-win against UMASS. Florida popped Kentucky's bubble, and Seton Hall popped Cinncinati's. "Bubble Team" Creighton got smashed by Illinois State the night after a narrow escape against Witchita State. Memphis showed their the real deal by blowing out Tulane.

Bracket Needs

There are 14 teams here with 7 spots avalible.

This is unlike others of it's kind because it goes over what teams have to do to get in. Big thanks to CBS sportsline for the info they gave me here.

Virginia Tech- Near lock, needs to beat FSU to lock

Maryland- Needs to reach ACC final

Dayton- Near lock, needs 2 A-10 tourney wins to lock

Providence- Needs to reach big east semis

Michigan- Near lock, needs to get 1 B-10 tourney win to feel comfortable, 2 to lock

Minnesota- Near lock, needs to get 1 B-10 tourney win to feel comfortable, 2 to lock

Penn State- Needs 2 B-10 tourney wins to feel comfortable, 3 to lock

Oklahoma State- Near lock, needs 1 B-12 tourney win to lock

Kansas State- Needs 2 B-12 tourney wins to feel comfortable, 3 to lock

BYU- Near lock, needs to beat Air Force to lock

New Mexico- Needs to reach m-west tourney final

SDSU- Needs to reach m-west tourney final

Arizona- Needs 1 P-10 tourney win to feel comfortable, 2 to lock

South Carolina- Needs 2 SEC tourney wins to feel comfortable, 3 to lock

Teams in Blue are in

Teams in Red are out