Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Random college football thoughts

Sorry I haven't posted this week, I procrasinated on a book report due tommorrow, I just finished it. Anyways, here are some totally random thought about college football.
-A Florida team without Tim Tebow isn't going to win 9, 10 or 11 games. Try the 6-8 range. Tebow will insist on playing against LSU, but if your not 100% you don't win in Death Valley.
- Alabama is the best team in the nation. Hands down. Look at my above note about Florida, and Texas is playing well, but they aren't playing like the #1 team in the land. And we all know, defense wins championships. Alabama has the best D I've seen this year in college football (it's nowhere near the Jet's D-line, which I'll hopefully get to in an upcoming post)
- Cincinnati won't live up to the hype. Teams that have gotten hyped so much, hmmm let's think about Miami, BYU, Florida State. Cincy is an "up and coming" team, just like those teams were. They aren't going to run the table. Tony Pike isn't Peyton Manning. And ESPN people, Tony Pike isn't the best QB no one has heard of. Because I've heard of him. And I think Kirk Cousins is better (yeah, that's probably biased, but he's still a sophmore!)
- What's the deal with LSU? Yeah sure, we all know they can win in Death Valley, but what the heck happened against Mississippi State? I'm not going to rank a team in the top 5 that was 6 inches away from losing against the annual cellar-dwellers of the SEC.
- Michigan isn't that good. They just aren't. Let's look at who they beat. They beat Western (I refer to Western Michigan as Western, Eastern Michigan as Eastern, and Central Michigan as CMU), which is not much of a feat. They beat a Notre Dame team that is 3-1. But Notre Dame's loss is to Michigan, their wins are over Nevada (WAC team) and Michigan State and Purdue, 2 teams that lost to MAC teams (CMU and Northern Illinois, respectively). Michigan beat Eastern, and the game was closer than the 45-17 score indicated, scUM (Michigan) didn't put the game away until the 4th quarter against the annual cellar-dwellers of the MAC. They beat Indiana (one of the big ten's worst) by 3 points, and in the game appeared worse at tackling than Michigan State (and that's saying something). Long rant short, Michigan is not one of the best teams in the nation.
- The Pac

Saturday, September 26, 2009

NFL picks (against spread) week 3

Here are my (against spread) NFL picks for week 3:
Spread picks (so far): 10-3
Over/Under picks (so far): 6-7
Total (so far): 16-10
O.K., my best against the spread is 11-5 in one week. Ever. Which makes me think, how the heck am I 10-3 so far? I think I'll skip over/under's from now on, it's too much of a guess. But hey, 10-3 isn't too shabby, combined with 12-6 college.
TEN +2.5
NYJ -2.5
PICK: NYJ
JAC +3.5
HOU -3.5
PICK: HOU
KC
PHI
NO LINE
CLE +13
BAL -13
PICK: BAL
NYG -6.5
TB +6.5
PICK: NYG
WAS -6
DET +6
PICK: DET
GB -6.5
STL +6.5
PICK: GB
SF +6.5
MIN -6.5
PICK: SF
ATL +4.5
NE -4.5
PICK: ATL
CHI -2
SEA +2
PICK: CHI
NO -6
BUF +6
PICK: NO
MIA +6
SD -6
PICK: SD
PIT -4
CIN +4
PICK: CIN
DEN -1.5
OAK +1.5
PICK: OAK
IND +2.5
ARI -2.5
PICK: ARI
TEN VS. NYJ OVER/UNDER 37
PICK: OVER
JAC VS. HOU OVER/UNDER 47
PICK: UNDER
KC VS. PHI
NO LINE
CLE VS. BAL OVER/UNDER 38.5
PICK: OVER
NYG VS. TB OVER/UNDER 44
PICK: UNDER
WAS VS. DET OVER/UNDER 38.5
PICK: OVER
GB VS. STL OVER/UNDER 41
PICK: UNDER
SF VS. MIN OVER/UNDER 40
PICK: OVER
ATL VS. NE OVER/UNDER 45.5
PICK: OVER
CHI VS. SEA OVER/UNDER 37
PICK: UNDER
NO VS. BUF OVER/UNDER 52
PICK: OVER
MIA VS. SD OVER/UNDER 44
PICK: UNDER
PIT VS. CIN OVER/UNDER 37
PICK: OVER
DEN VS. OAK OVER/UNDER 36
PICK: UNDER
IND VS. ARI OVER/UNDER 47.5
PICK: UNDER
Let's see how they do!

Friday, September 25, 2009

College Football Picks Week 4

Note that these are OPINION picks.
Record this week: 12-6
correct
incorrect
Alabama -15.5
Arkansas +15.5
Ryan Mallet looked impressive for Arkansas, I don't think Alabama can cover.
Boise State -17
Bowling Green +17

This is an easy one, Boise State should cover this and go above and beyond. They almost covered 17 against a good Fresno State team, Bowling Green is much worse than Fresno.
Iowa +10
Penn State -10
When Penn State is playing a mediocre big 10 team in happy valley, it's going to be a blowout. 41-10 PSU, easy cover.
Missouri -7.5
Nevada +7.5

Earth to people in Vegas, earth to people in Vegas. Do you realize what you're doing here? Nevada is the 3rd best WAC team behind Boise and Fresno, but Missouri is one of the most underrated teams in the nation. Easy cover.
Fresno State +15.5
Cincinnati -15.5

Call me crazy, but I'll take Fresno straight up against Cincy. The Big East is extremely overrated and Fresno gave a much better Boise team a run for their money. Ryan Matthews is a beast, too.
North Carolina +2.5
Georgia Tech -2.5

I've gotta go with UNC here, I'm not high on either of these teams. I know Georgia Tech has hung around with Miami, but my gut tells me UNC and my guy was 14-2 against the spread week 1.
Michigan State +2.5
Wisconsin -2.5

Ah, my beloved Spartans. Sadly, us+Camp Randall= fail. Wiscy isn't good, but we never play well in Camp Randall.
Illinois +14
Ohio State -14
Call me crazy, but OSU isn't that good. Illinois' the pick here.
TCU +2.5
Clemson -2.5
PICK: TCU
Rutgers -0
Maryland +0
PICK: RUTGERS
Akron +15
Central Michigan -15
PICK: CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Florida -20.5
Kentucky +20.5
pick: kentucky
Texas tech -1.5
houston +1.5
pick: houston
washington state +45
usc -45
pick: washington state
toledo +1
florida inter. -1
pick: toledo
nc central +41
duke -41
pick: nc central
cal poly +6.5
san jose state -6.5
pick: san jose state
washington +9
stanford -9
pick: washington

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

College Football Rankings Week 4

team =
1 Alabama 345.8792

team =
2 Boise State 337.9386

team =
3 Michigan 310.2091

team =
4 Penn State 303.8648

team =
5 LSU 292.2109

team =
6 Washington State 271.6546

team =
7 Auburn 261.5905

team =
8 Ohio State 247.3387

team =
9 USC 240.5307

team =
10 Clemson 237.6044

team =
11 UCLA 232.9695

team =
12 Texas A&M 227.9574

team =
13 Nebraska 200.1923

team =
14 Notre Dame 198.8448

team =
15 Virginia Tech 196.238

team =
16 Oklahoma State 182.3483

team =
17 Stanford 177.1629

team =
18 Utah 172.8123

team =
19 Florida 169.2368

team =
20 Oregon 157.7416

team =
21 Pittsburgh 155.991

team =
22 South Carolina 152.182

team =
23 Kansas 150.9667

team =
24 Connecticut 144.7744

team =
25 Purdue 142.1006

team =
26 Oklahoma 140.042

team =
27 BYU 136.5306

team =
28 Idaho 135.949

team =
29 California 132.2627

team =
30 Iowa 130.6787

team =
31 Florida State 129.3056

team =
32 Bowling Green 125.296

team =
33 Georgia 125.1448

team =
34 Minnesota 121.1606

team =
35 Tennessee 116.6676

team =
36 Navy 115.0439

team =
37 Army 113.6382

team =
38 Colorado 103.6059

team =
39 Cincinnati 101.0487

team =
40 Middle Tennessee 100.8725

team =
41 North Carolina 96.5639

team =
42 North Texas 91.9636

team =
43 Missouri 90.3348

team =
44 Wake Forest 89.6055

team =
45 Troy 89.1428

team =
46 UAB 88.7468

team =
47 Syracuse 87.5491

team =
48 Colorado State 87.4746

team =
49 Buffalo 86.3491

team =
50 Duke 82.7722

team =
51 Miami (FL) 81.9453

team =
52 Indiana 80.5373

team =
53 Western Michigan 79.0159

team =
54 Tulsa 77.9017

team =
55 Texas A&M 76.8801

team =
56 Hawaii 75.0078

team =
57 Toledo 74.8046

team =
58 Georgia Tech 74.8044

team =
59 Northern Illinois 73.345

team =
60 UTEP 71.1923

team =
61 Marshall 69.3951

team =
62 Kentucky 67.903

team =
63 Wisconsin 67.3379

team =
64 Ohio 66.9905

team =
65 Baylor 66.429

team =
66 Texas Tech 64.4803

team =
67 Houston 63.6558

team =
68 Washington State 62.1519

team =
69 UCF 61.1555

team =
70 Southern Methodist 60.7236

team =
71 Southern Miss 60.6209

team =
72 West Virginia 59.0942

team =
73 Eastern Michigan 58.7635

team =
74 Air Force 58.1784

team =
75 Arizona 56.5022

team =
76 Michigan State 55.6837

team =
77 Fresno State 53.1308

team =
78 Northwestern 53.1071

team =
79 Mississippi State 52.9912

team =
80 UNLV 52.1015

team =
81 Oregon State 41.6033

team =
82 Maryland 40.8081

team =
83 San Jose State 39.0278

team =
84 Rice 38.2375

team =
85 Utah State 37.4056

team =
86 Boston College 35.9543

team =
87 Florida International34.4489

team =
88 San Diego State 34.0939

team =
89 Ball State 33.6489

team =
90 Rutgers 32.7911

team =
91 Louisiana Tech 31.5009

team =
92 Kansas State 27.2301

team =
93 Central Michigan 25.951

team =
94 Akron 25.1048

team =
95 New Mexico 24.3634

team =
96 Virginia 24.0504

team =
97 Louisiana-Monroe 22.945

team =
98 TCU 21.9423

team =
99 Louisiana-Lafayette 20.2249

team =
100 Vanderbilt 20.0673

team =
101 Iowa State 19.5073

team =
102 Louisville 19.4988

team =
103 Florida Atlantic 18.5178

team =
104 Wyoming 17.9194

team =
105 Arizona State 17.3261

team =
106 Eastern Carolina 17.3241

team =
107 North Carolina State 16.9809

team =
108 Arkansas 15.9985

team =
109 Ole Miss 15.7826

team =
110 New Mexico State 15.5589

team =
111 Memphis 14.243

team =
112 Arkansas State 14.1445

team =
113 South Florida 13.8066

team =
114 Tulane 12.6358

team =
115 Temple 12.5809

team =
116 Western Kentucky 10.6276

team =
117 Nevada 9.3501

team =
118 Miami (OH) 7.8444

team =
119 Illinois 7.7212

team =
120 Kent State 7.3123
Sorry, the picks I had based off of these rankings used a flawed formula. Opinion picks coming soon.

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

The College football rankings have...

Run into, um I'm being told they're technical difficulties. We should have an update shortly (shortly could mean tomorrow morning or if the program fails it could mean a week from now). It shouldn't be later than this weekend.

AL wild card race & College Football Rating Formula Week 2

As far as the college football stuff, I've e-mailed it off to Dad (as the formula is on his computer
) and the results should be up tonight (but I could run into unprecedented difficulties). So anyways, here is my analysis of the AL card race (NL soon) (number in parentheses is magic number).
AL:
Boston
Texas 4.5 GB (16)
Seattle 11 GB (9)
Tampa Bay 12 GB (8)
Minnesota 13 GB (7)
CHW 14 GB (6)
Oakland 19.5 GB (1)
NOTE: Toronto, Baltimore, Kansas City eliminated from wild card and division contention. Cleveland is eliminated in the wild card, but can still win the Central.
After Boston and Texas, nobody realistically has a shot. So let's concentrate on Boston and Texas. Remember that Texas needs to pick up 5 more wins then Boston. I'm going to color-code this, red for Boston, blue for Texas.
SCHEDULE:
3 LAA 1-2
3 BAL 3-0
4 KC 4-0
3 NYY 1-2
3 TOR 2-1
4 CLE 2-2

2 OAK 2-0
OFF
3 LAA 1-2
4 OAK 3-1
3 TB 2-1
4 LAA 2-2
3 SEA 2-1

13-7 
12-7 
So, Boston actually picks up half a game on Texas. Unless Boston has a total meltdown, they have pretty much secured the AL wild card. And their 7.5 back of the Yankees, so they aren't gonna win the East. Safe to say the Red Sox will play the Yankees in the 1-4.
More soon!

Monday, September 14, 2009

COLLEGE FOOTBALL RESULTS!!! FINALLY!!!

team =1 Kentucky 100
team =1 Notre Dame 100
team =3 Nebraska 94
team =3 USC 94
team =5 Texas A&M 88
team =5 Arizona 88
team =5 Idaho 88
team =8 Michigan 86
team =8 Penn State 86
team =8 Tennessee 86
team =11 Boise State 84
team =12 Missouri 82
team =13 Clemson 80
team =13 Cincinnati 80
team =13 Oklahoma State 80
team =13 Texas A&M 80
team =13 California 80
team =13 Stanford 80
team =13 UCLA 80
team =13 Auburn 80
team =13 Ole Miss 80
team =13 Utah 80
team =13 Bowling Green 80
team =13 North Texas 80
team =13 Tulsa 80
team =13 Army 80
team =27 UAB 79.7059
team =28 Purdue 77.6506
team =29 South Carolina 75
team =30 Alabama 73.6207
team =31 Connecticut 63.9744
team =32 Wisconsin 63.3333
team =33 Colorado State 62.5
team =33 Buffalo 62.5
team =35 LSU 62.4074
team =36 Minnesota 58.4884
team =37 Ohio State 58.4483
team =38 Baylor 58.3333
team =39 Florida State 57.7778
team =40 BYU 56.8519
team =41 Oklahoma 43.1481
team =42 Miami (FL) 42.2222
team =43 Wake Forest 41.6667
team =44 Navy 41.5517
team =45 Syracuse 41.5116
team =46 Washington State 37.5926
team =47 Colorado 37.5
team =47 UTEP 37.5
team =49 Northern Illinois 36.6667
team =50 Ohio 36.0256
team =51 Virginia Tech 26.3793
team =52 North Carolina State 25
team =53 Toledo 22.3494
team =54 Rice 20.2941
team =55 Maryland 20
team =55 Ball State 20
team =55 Eastern Michigan 20
team =55 Tulane 20
team =55 Rutgers 20
team =55 Washington State 20
team =55 Georgia 20
team =55 San Diego State 20
team =55 Louisiana Tech 20
team =55 Utah State 20
team =55 Louisiana-Monroe 20
team =55 Middle Tennessee 20
team =55 Troy 20
team =55 Memphis 20
team =69 Illinois 18
team =70 Oregon 16
team =71 Akron 14
team =71 Western Michigan 14
team =71 Western Kentucky 14
team =74 New Mexico 12
team =74 New Mexico State 12
team =74 Central Michigan 12
team =77 San Jose State 6
team =77 Florida Atlantic 6

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Error notice: the college football rankings formula is not working

IMPORTANT:
THIS IS CURRENTLY VERY WEIRD. IT APPEARS THE FORMULA WORKED CORRECTLY FOR SOME GAMES, BUT NOT FOR OTHERS. AND I FORGOT TO MENTION, BUT UNTIL WEEK 5 THESE RANKINGS SHOULD BE CONSIDERED PROVISIONAL. I SHOULD HAVE THE CORRECT FORMULA FOR EVERYTHING BY 10:00 PM EASTERN TONIGHT.
Sort of. One part of the formula isn't working (I'm fixing it manually. But have no fear, as it's relatively simple to fix. Which means the rankings are here (really really late). Here you go.
team =1 Kentucky 100
team =2 Notre Dame 100
team =3 USC 94
team =4 Nebraska 99.2308
team =5 California 95
team =6 Tennessee 86
team =7 Texas A&M 92.234
team =8 Tulsa 80
team =9 Michigan 86
team =10 Penn State 86
team =11 Boise State 80
team =12 Idaho 82.7778
team =13 Missouri 82
team =14 Ole Miss 81.2712
team =15 Arizona 81
team =16 Army 80.8537
team =17 Cincinnati 80.8065
team =18 Stanford 80
team =19 North Texas 80
team =20 Texas A&M 79.6835
team =21 Auburn 79
team =22 Clemson 77.549
team =23 Oklahoma State 80
team =24 UCLA 75.2128
team =25 South Carolina 75
team =26 Bowling Green 80
team =27 Alabama 73.6207
team =28 Utah 80
team =29 UAB 80
team =30 Purdue 77
team =31 Connecticut 63.9744
team =32 Wisconsin 63.3333
team =33 Colorado State 62.5
team =34 Buffalo 62.5
team =35 LSU 62.4074
team =36 Minnesota 58
team =37 Ohio State 58
team =38 Baylor 58
team =39 Florida State 57.7778
team =40 BYU 56.8519
team =41 Oklahoma 43.1481
team =42 Miami (FL) 42.2222
team =43 Wake Forest 42
team =44 Navy 42
team =45 Syracuse 42
team =46 Washington State 37.5926
team =47 Colorado 37.5
team =48 UTEP 37.5
team =49 Northern Illinois 36.6667
team =50 Ohio 36.0256
team =51 Toledo 23
team =52 Rice 30.2941
team =53 Utah St 20
team =54 Virginia Tech 26.3793
team =55 Troy 20
team =56 North Carolina State 25
team =57 San Diego State 24.7872
team =58 Georgia 20
team =59 Middle Tennessee 22.451
team =60 Louisiana Tech 21
team =61 Louisiana-Monroe 20.3165
team =62 Ball State 20
team =63 Washington State 20
team =64 Rutgers 19.1935
team =65 Eastern Michigan 19.1463
team =66 Central Michigan 19
team =67 Memphis 18.7288
team =68 Illinois 18
team =69 New Mexico State 17.2222
team =70 Oregon 20
team =71 Akron 14
team =72 Western Michigan 14
team =73 Tulane 20
team =74 New Mexico 7.766
team =75 Maryland 5
team =76 Western Kentucky 14
team =77 Florida Atlantic 0.76923
team =78 San Jose State 6

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

College football stuff

Hey guys,
The college football rankings formula has run into unforseen diffuculties, (i.e. the computer that has the document on it isn't working). So, here's my college football poll (note that this has NO formula, it is purely my opinion).
1. Florida
2. Alabama
3. USC
4. BYU
5. Texas
6. Oklahoma State
7. Ole Miss
8. Penn State
9. California
10. Ohio State
11. Boise State
12. LSU
13. Georgia Tech
14. Oklahoma
15. TCU
16. Kansas
17. Georgia
18. Nebraska
19. Notre Dame
20. Miami (FL)
21. Virginia Tech
22. Utah
23. Michigan State
24. North Carolina
25. Houston
Questions, Comments e-mail ivarngizteb@gmail.com

Wednesday, September 2, 2009

College Football Rankings update

Hey guys,
Sorry I haven't posted in a while, as I've been busy working on the college football rankings. I'm starting to get ready for the 2009 season. This is some of what I have (I'm on week 3, and what I'm about to show you is the first 6th of week 1)

WEEK 1:

Div1Data (3,9,1)= ;

Div1Data (3,9,2)= ;

Div1Data (9,3,1)= ;

Div1Data (9,3,2)= ;

Div1Data (6,100,1)= ;

Div1Data (6,100,2)= ;

Div1Data (100,6,1)= ;

Div1Data (100,6,2)= ;

Div1Data (8,185,1)= ;

Div1Data (8,185,2)= ;

Div1Data (185,8,1)= ;

Div1Data (185,8,2)= ;

Div1Data (10,80,1)= ;

Div1Data (10,80,2)= ;

Div1Data (80,10,1)= ;

Div1Data (80,10,2)= ;

Div1Data (11,109,1)= ;

Div1Data (11,109,2)= ;

Div1Data (12,66,1)= ;

Div1Data (12,66,2)= ;

Div1Data (66,12,1)= ;

Div1Data (66,12,2)= ;

Div1Data (20,24,1)= ;

Div1Data (20,24,2)= ;

Div1Data (24,20,1)= ;

Div1Data (24,20,2)= ;

It's like that. But it goes on. And on. And on. And did I mention that I type in the LEAST in week 1 because a lot of teams play division 2 teams? Yeah. I'd post the entire thing, but it would get kind of boring. Anyways, I'm going to have weekly college football picks. Starting next week, they'll be based of the rankings. I'd do them this week, but I don't feel I'm knowledgeable enough to make picks on all of the Division 1 teams. I guess it's time to go back to Div1Data'ing. *Sigh*. Cya!