Tuesday, April 14, 2009

NFL Draft

The NBA Playoffs are kind of absorbing it up, but the NFL Draft starts Saturday April 25th. Here's my first round mock:
Last Updated 4-24-09 10:00 PM, Next update 4-25-09 2:00 PM.
DET: Matthew Stafford, QB Georgia
No-brainer here. The 0-16 team needs the franchise QB.
STL: Jason Smith, OT Baylor
Either Smith or Monroe, Smith is slightly more athletic.
KC: Aaron Curry, ILB Wake Forest
A perfect fit into the new Chiefs system, and less injury-prone than Orakpo.
SEA: Eugene Monroe, OT Virginia
Either Monroe or Crabtree. Crabtree has more bust potential (being a wideout). I'm just not buying Sanchez, they have Hassleback and aren't going to give up on him yet.
CLE: Michael Crabtree, WR Texas Tech
I think they'll let go of Braylon Edwards, and you can't have your only real wideout be having leagal problems (Donte Stallworth).
CIN: Andre Smith, OT Alabama
It's either this or Raji. I'll pick Smith because the Bungals just need to give Palmer some time in the pocket.
OAK: Brian Orakpo, DE/OLB Texas
Orakpo slides because he's injury-prone, Michael Johnson is too big of a reach and nobody wants to trade up. Al Davis isn't afraid to go against the grain, so he still might choose Johnson here.
DEN: Mark Sanchez, QB USC
The whole point of trading up with Jacksonville is to get Sanchez. Orton just isn't the answer in the new system.
GB: B.J. Raji, NT Boston College
A great deal at this point on the board, this could also be Maybin or Brown depending on what the Packers think about DE or NT being a greater need.
SF: Aaron Maybin, DE/OLB Penn State
Without Sanchez on the board, they go with Maybin, who upgrades a faltering pass rush. He's over Everette Brown because he has more upside.
BUF: Everette Brown, DE Florida State
This pick is Maybin/Brown, whoever the 9er's don't take at 10. The Bills couldn't get to the passer at all last year, this could also be Michael Oher.
JAC: Jeremy Maclin, WR Mizzouri
Jacksonville needs a speedy wide receiver, I think Maclin is more athletic than Heward-Bey.
WAS: Michael Oher, OT Mississippi
Oher is the last top-tier OT left on the board, so Washington upgrades there. Daniel Snyder is fed up with Jason Campbell, so don't rule out Josh Freeman here.
NO: Malcolm Jenkins, CB/FS Ohio State
As close to a lock as you can get, a perfect versatile fit in the struggling Saints secondary.  
HOU: Clay Matthews, OLB USC
Yet another pick change here. The Texans could use help on in their linebacking corps, so Matthews is a good choice.
SD: Rey Malaluga, ILB USC
If Malaluga's on the board here, he has to be the pick. The Chargers secondary could use a major upgrade, and the only worth-while first round USC linebacker goes here.
NYJ: Josh Freeman, QB Kansas State
Kellen Clemens just isn't the answer. Josh Freeman is a quarterback that's built for a great career, his size will let him last a while.
DEN: Tyson Jackson, DE LSU
Jackson is a canidate to go to the Broncos at 12, so he's a no-brainer here. He's a perfect fit in their new defense.
TB: Peria Jerry, DT Mississippi
If Josh Freeman's still on the board, then he's the pick. Otherwise, Peria Jerry could probably start next year in an aging defensive line.
DET: William Beatty, OT Connecticut
This is either Beatty or Britton, and I think it'll be Beatty, because his measurements are a tiny bit better. If they don't get a tackle to back up Stafford, I'll never be a Lions fan again. Then again, I said that when we drafted Charles Rogers, didn't I?
PHI: Chris "Beanie" Wells, RB Ohio State
There's always one shocker pick on draft day, and it could be Andy Reid taking Beanie over Knowshon.
MIN: Ebon Britton, OT Arizona
They need to go offensive tackle, and Britton is the last first-round tackle on the board.
NE: Connor Barwin, DE/OLB Cinnicnati
The perfect 3-4 ILB for the Pats.
ATL: Brian Cushing, OLB USC
After the Tony Gonzalez trade, the linebacking corps need to be addressed. With only 1 USC linebacker left on the board, this is an obvious pick. 
MIA: Robert Ayers, DE Tennessee
Bill Paecells always addresses defensive line early in the draft, and Ayers is a steal at this point.
BAL: Derius Heward-Bey, WR Maryland
This is either Heward-Bey or Maclin, whoever the Jaguars don't take at #12.  Baltimore's receivers aren't all that good and Joe Flacco could use some targets.
IND: Sean Smith, FS Utah
Sean Smith helps them at safety, with Bob Sanders' injury problems, and the Colts secondary is starting to get pretty old.
BUF: Brandon Pettigrew, TE Oklahoma State
In the wake of the Tony Gonzalez trade, the odds of Pettigrew falling to 28 have risen astronomically. Pettigrew would be a perfect fit in the Bills offense.
NYG: Kenny Britt, WR Rutgers
This could be Vontae Davis, but if they don't land Braylon Edwards they'll probabaly go receiver here.
TEN: Vontae Davis, CB Illinois
The Titans have proved they don't get overly concerned with character issues, so Vontae Davis is a steal at this point.
ARI: Knowshon Moreno, RB Georgia
Arizona needs a running back here, Edregin James is old and slow, Moreno is an absolute steal at the #31 pick. 
PIT: Alex Mack, C California
Pittsburgh's o-line needs some help, this pick is either Mack or Unger.

Trade:
Denver gives Jacksonville 3rd round pick, 12th pick
Jacksonville gives Denver 8th pick


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