Saturday, November 21, 2009

Week 11 NFL picks

THIS WEEK: 7-5
How do I not have 16 picks? Huh.
Picks for week 11 of the NFL:
Cleveland +3
Detroit -3
PICK: DET
Buffalo +8.5
Jacksonville -8.5
PICK: JAC
Pittsburgh -10
Kansas City +10
PICK: PIT
Indianapolis -1.5
Baltimore +1.5
PICK: IND
Atlanta +7
New York Giants -7
PICK: ATL
San Fransisco +6
Green Bay -6
PICK: GB
PUSH
Seattle +10.5
Minnesota -10.5
PICK: MIN
Washington +11
Dallas -11
PICK: WAS
New Orleans -10.5
Tampa Bay +10.5
PICK: NO
Arizona -9
St. Louis +9
PICK: ARI
New York Jets +10.5
New England -10.5
PICK: NYJ
Cincinnati -9
Oakland +9
PICK: CIN
Philadelphia -3
Chicago +3
PICK: PHI
Tennessee +4
Houston -4
PICK: TEN
Easy prop bet of the week:
CIN VS. OAK 1st half over/under 17.5 OVER

BCS bowl predictions

For starters, I might as well give the top 18 BCS teams.
Florida
Alabama
Texas
TCU
Cincinnati
Boise State
Georgia Tech
LSU
Pittsburgh
Ohio State
Oregon
Oklahoma State
Iowa
Penn State
Virginia Tech
Wisconsin
Stanford
USC
The top 14 teams are eligible for "at-large" berths.
Let me give you those standings again, with teams color-coded by projected losses.
no losses
1 loss
2 loss
3 loss
4 loss
Florida
Alabama loss to Florida
Texas
TCU
Cincinnati
Boise State
Georgia Tech
LSU Loss to Mississippi/Arkansas
Pittsburgh Loss to Cincinnati
Ohio State
Oregon
Oklahoma State
Iowa Loss to Minnesota
Penn State
Virginia Tech
Wisconsin Loss to Hawaii (Hawaii refs @ Hawaii are well, Hawaii refs @ Hawaii)
Stanford
USC Loss to Arizona

As you can see, there are 13 teams projected to finish with less than 3 losses. 3 of them are SEC teams, meaning that one of them (the lowest-ranked) will be ineligible. That will be LSU, unless Florida International, Chatanooga or Auburn can pull a big upset. And even then, LSU still could be left in the dust if Florida and Alabama are both 1-loss. So that leaves 12. Even if Iowa and Wisconsin win out, only 2 big ten teams could get in. No matter how you slice it, we have 12 to fill 10 spots. As a quick refresher, here is a color-coded list of teams that could get into the BCS.
BCS qualified
Not BCS qualified
Florida
Alabama
Texas
TCU
Cincinnati
Boise State
Georgia Tech
LSU
Pittsburgh
Ohio State
Oregon
Oklahoma State
Iowa
Penn State
Virginia Tech
Wisconsin
Stanford
USC

Most likely, one of my teams hilighted in red will lose somewhere unexpected. Oklahoma State could go down to Oklahoma, Penn State to Sparta, Boise State to Nevada etc. Then, Pittsburgh may drop out of the top 14 if they lose to Cincinnati. So with 1 upset, and Pittsburgh dropping out, we have 10 teams! And then for my upset, you may not believe this but Nevada will beat Boise State. No joke. So this leaves 10 BCS teams for 10 slots, those teams are:
Florida
Alabama
Texas
TCU
Cincinnati
Georgia Tech
Ohio State
Oregon
Oklahoma State
Penn State
But it's more complicated than that. Say Cincy loses to Pitt. Both would probably be in the top 14. Who gets left out? Boise State wins, who loses instead? But under the circumstances that the ten teams listed above make the BCS, the matchups I think would be:
NC game: Florida vs. Texas
Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs. Oregon
Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. TCU
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Cincinnati
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Penn State
After that long post, I'm off.

College football picks week 12

This week:
10-5 FINAL
Long break, here are picks:
CAPS IS MY PICK
OSU -12.5
mich +12.5
C'mon, run up the score Tressel. Uggh.

kent state +10.5
TEMPLE -10.5
Yup, I was the only person that realized Temple has 2 losses.

MISSISSIPPI STATE +11.5
arkansas -11.5
What happened to your almost-beating LSU self? Seriously.

PENN STATE -3
michigan state +3
Hey, at least I'm not a homer like Jim Branstetter (cough cough)

california +8
STANFORD -8
Note to self: Toby Gerhart isn't the greatest thing since sliced bread.

LSU +4
ole miss -4
I think after going so fast all of the oxygen got sucked out of Jordan Jefferson's brain.

air force +10
BYU -10
Non big-6 games are the key to getting picks right. Absolutely ridicolous line here.

uab +13
EAST CAROLINA -13
East Carolina is one to surprise.

LTECH +9
fresno state -9
2 near-losses against ranked teams in a row wins my respect.

DUKE +19
miami-19
Barely, just barely.

HAWAII -3
san jose state +3
Hawaii always gets all the calls. That's why I pick them.

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +45
florida -45
Wow, Florida is better than expected. How about I just stay away from any game with a big-6 team.

ARMY +2.5
north texas -2.5
Yup, definately stick to non big-6 games.

oregon -6
ARIZONA +6
Neither of these teams look very good.

ARKANSAS STATE +10
middle tennessee -10
I need to convince myself that the Iowa game was a long time ago.

Saturday, October 17, 2009

College Football Picks Week 7

THIS WEEK: 6-7
Ohio State -14.5
Purdue +14.5
PICK: OHIO STATE
Oklahoma +3.5
Texas -3.5
PICK: TEXAS
Bowling Green -3
Ball State +3
PICK: BOWLING GREEN
Iowa +3
Wisconsin -3
PICK: IOWA
Mississippi State -5
Middle Tennessee State +5
PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE
Minnesota +17
Penn State -17
PICK: MINNESOTA
Arkansas +24
Florida -24
PICK: ARKANSAS
North Carolina State +3
Boston College -3
PICK: BOSTON COLLEGE
Cal -3.5
UCLA +3.5
PICK: UCLA
Kansas -10
Colorado +10
PICK: KANSAS
Miami (FL) -14
UCF +14
PICK: MIAMI (FL)
Navy -6.5
SMU +6.5
PICK: NAVY
Washington +6.5
Arizona State -6.5
PICK: WASHINGTON

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Week 6 college football picks

Man, 21 picks is a lot. Let's hope they do well.
THIS WEEK: 10-11
Purdue +3.5
Minnesota -3.5
PICK: MINNESOTA
Auburn -3
Arkansas +3
PICK: AUBURN
Boston College +14
Virginia Tecch -14
PICK: BOSTON COLLEGE
Michigan State -4
Illinois +4
PICK: MICHIGAN STATE
Georgia +1
Tennessee -1
PICK: GEORGIA
Houston +2.5
Mississippi State -2.5
PICK: HOUSTON
Wisconsin +15
Ohio State -15
PICK: WISCONSIN
Indiana +6.5
Virginia -6.5
PICK: INDIANA
Baylor +28
Oklahoma -28
PICK: BAYLOR
Navy -11.5
Rice +11.5
PICK: NAVY
Alabama -5.5
Mississippi +5.5
PICK: ALABAMA
Oregon -3.5
UCLA +3.5
PICK: OREGON
Utah -8
Colorado State +8
PICK: UTAH
Western Michigan +9.5
Toledo -9.5
PICK: TOLEDO
Stanford -1
Oregon State +1
PICK: STANFORD
Southern Mississippi -1.5
Louisville +1.5
PICK: LOUISVILLE
Georgia Tech +3
Florida State -3
PICK: GEORGIA TECH
Florida -8
LSU +8
PICK: LSU
Michigan +8
Iowa -8
PICK: IOWA
UTEP -2
Memphis +2
PICK: UTEP
Arizona -3.5
Washington +3.5
PICK: WASHINGTON

Sunday, October 4, 2009

Opinion Poll week 5

After week 5, here is my opinion poll:
1. Alabama
2. Texas
3. Florida
4. Boise State
5. Iowa
6. Cinicnnati
7. LSU
8. Miami (FL)
9. Oregon
10. USC
11. Ohio State
12. Virginia Tech
13. South Florida
14. Auburn
15. Kansas
16. Wisconsin
17. Mizzouri
18. Penn State
19. Nebraska
20. Oklahoma State
21. TCU
22. Georgia
23. Stanford
24. South Carolina
25. Mississippi

Friday, October 2, 2009

College Football Picks Week 5

THIS WEEK: 4-5
Toledo -5.5
Ball State +5.5
PICK: TOLEDO
Northwestern +8
Purdue -8
PICK: NORTHWESTERN
East Carolina -2
Marshall +2
PICK: MARSHALL
South Florida -7
Syracuse +7
PICK: SOUTH FLORIDA
Michigan +3.5
Michigan State -3.5
PICK: MICHIGAN
I have never been happier to be wrong
Central Michigan -8.5
Buffalo +8.5
PICK: CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Florida State -4
Boston College +4
PICK: BOSTON COLLEGE
LSU +3.5
Georgia -3.5
PICK: GEORGIA
Air Force +3
Navy -3
PICK: NAVY
Tie
Washington +12.5
Notre Dame -12.5
PICK: WASHINGTON
Western Michigan +7
Northern Illinois -7
PICK: NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Mississippi -10
Vanderbilt +10
PICK: VANDERBILT
Ohio State -18
Indiana +18
PICK: INDIANA
Arkansas -1.5
Texas A&M +1.5
PICK: TEXAS A&M
Oklahoma -7.5
Miami (FL) +7.5
USC -4.5
California +4.5
PICK: CALIFORNIA
Houston -14.5
UTEP +14.5
PICK: HOUSTON